Sirius XM (SIRI) Reports Next Week: What to Expect

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Sirius XM (SIRI) to report flat earnings of $0.70 per share for the quarter ended March 2025, with revenues expected to decline by 3.6% to $2.08 billion compared to the previous year [3][12] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for May 1, 2025, and could lead to stock price movements depending on whether the actual results exceed or fall short of expectations [2] - A positive earnings surprise could drive the stock higher, while a miss may result in a decline [2] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.45% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive adjustment by analysts [4] - However, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, leading to an Earnings ESP of -10.63%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but its predictive power is stronger for positive readings [7][8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically shown a nearly 70% chance of a positive surprise [8] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Sirius XM exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $0.83 per share against an estimate of $0.64, resulting in a surprise of +29.69% [12] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13] Industry Comparison - Roku (ROKU), another player in the broadcast radio and television industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.20 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +42.9% [17] - Roku's revenues are projected to rise by 14% to $1 billion, with a high Earnings ESP of 95.07%, indicating a strong likelihood of beating consensus estimates [18]