AptarGroup (ATR) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Viewpoint - AptarGroup (ATR) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a potential impact on its stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for AptarGroup is $1.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 7.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $899.6 million, down 1.7% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.18% lower, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for AptarGroup is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.17% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - AptarGroup currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AptarGroup exceeded the expected earnings of $1.26 per share by delivering $1.52, resulting in a surprise of +20.63% [12]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in all of the last four quarters [13]. Industry Context - Amcor (AMCR), another player in the Containers - Paper and Packaging industry, is expected to post earnings of $0.18 per share, with revenues projected at $3.51 billion, reflecting a 3% increase year-over-year [17]. - Amcor's consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged, but it has a negative Earnings ESP of -2.17% and a Zacks Rank of 4, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [18].