HF Sinclair(DINO) ZACKS·2025-04-24 15:09Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for HF Sinclair despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is expected on May 1, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of 7.08 billion, a 0.8% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.05% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that recent analyst revisions may provide more accurate predictions [6]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3, with a historical success rate of nearly 70% for such combinations [8]. Current Position of HF Sinclair - For HF Sinclair, the Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [10][11]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral position in terms of expected performance [11]. Historical Performance - HF Sinclair has beaten consensus EPS estimates three out of the last four quarters, although it missed expectations in the most recent quarter with a loss of 0.91, resulting in a -12.09% surprise [12][13]. Conclusion - While HF Sinclair does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].