How Should an Investor Play Lockheed Martin Stock Post Q1 Earnings?

Core Insights - Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) reported strong Q1 2025 performance with earnings per share of $7.28, exceeding estimates by 14.8%, and revenues of $17.96 billion, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year growth driven by demand for defense products [1] - The company maintains a solid cash position of $1.80 billion and reiterated its full-year financial guidance, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [1] Financial Performance - LMT's earnings per share for Q1 2025 was $7.28, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14.8% [1] - Revenues increased by 4.5% year-over-year to $17.96 billion, supported by strong demand for missile systems and F-35 fighter jets [1] - The company ended Q1 with cash and cash equivalents of $1.80 billion [1] Market Position - Despite strong performance, LMT's stock has declined by 0.2% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks aerospace-defense industry growth of 2.3%, the broader aerospace sector's growth of 6.5%, and the S&P 500's gain of 7% [3] - LMT's backlog as of March 30, 2025, stands at $173 billion, with expectations to recognize approximately 38% over the next 12 months and 64% over the next 24 months, indicating strong revenue generation prospects [10] Industry Outlook - The global defense industry is expected to grow due to increased defense spending driven by geopolitical tensions, which is favorable for defense contractors like Lockheed and RTX [8] - The long-term earnings growth rate consensus estimate for LMT is 10.6%, reflecting positive growth prospects [11] Challenges - LMT faced operational challenges, including a $2 billion loss in 2024 due to cost overruns in classified missile and aeronautics programs [7] - The failure to secure the $20 billion Next Generation Air Dominance contract in March 2025 has impacted investor confidence [6] - Performance issues in the Canadian Maritime Helicopter Program have resulted in cumulative losses of approximately $100 million as of March 30, 2025 [16] Valuation - LMT's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.63X, which is a premium compared to its peer group's average of 16.49X [18] - Investors may consider waiting for a better entry point due to the premium valuation and recent downward revisions in near-term earnings estimates [19]