Fair Isaac to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is expected to report strong revenue and earnings growth for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by innovations in its scoring business and increased adoption of its FICO Score 10T product. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter fiscal 2025 revenues is $496.22 million, indicating a 14.39$7.39 per share, reflecting a 20.36% year-over-year growth [1] Recent Performance Trends - FICO's earnings have missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 0.92% [2] - The company has seen sustained growth in Scores revenues, supported by continuous innovation and the incorporation of Buy Now, Pay Later loan data into its scoring models [3] Product Development and Market Position - The expansion of FICO Score 10T for non-GSE mortgages is likely to have driven revenue growth, supported by customer adoption and expansion among existing clients [4] - FICO's land-and-expand strategy and increased recurring revenues have strengthened its market position, contributing to sustained growth [5] Industry Leadership - FICO reported strong adoption momentum for FICO Score 10T in mortgage origination, with loans utilizing this score beginning to trade on the MCT Marketplace, indicating broader market acceptance [6] Earnings Expectations - According to the Zacks model, FICO has an Earnings ESP of -1.71% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a moderate likelihood of an earnings beat [7]