Core Viewpoint - Stem (STEM) is expected to report its first-quarter 2025 earnings on April 29, with revenues estimated at $25.80 million, reflecting a 1.30% increase year-over-year, and a projected loss of 20 cents per share, which is an improvement from a loss of 46 cents in the same quarter last year [1][3]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2025 revenues is $25.80 million, indicating a 1.30% increase from the previous year [1]. - The consensus for the bottom line is a loss of 20 cents per share, which has widened by 6 cents over the past month but shows improvement from a loss of 46 cents in the prior year [1][2]. Group 2: Performance Drivers - The anticipated performance for the first quarter is expected to benefit from the high-margin software platform, PowerTrack, which has delivered gross margins of 70-80% in previous quarters [3]. - The company's strategic shift towards software and services aims to reduce reliance on lower-margin hardware sales, likely supporting improved profitability [3]. - International expansion, particularly a deal with Neovolt in Hungary to manage a 484 MW solar portfolio, is expected to contribute to revenue growth [4]. Group 3: Operational Improvements - The company expects an improvement in operating cash flow due to working capital releases related to OEM hardware, aided by efficient inventory management and a reduction in lower-margin hardware deployments [5]. - Stem plans to cut operational expenses by over 20% in 2025, focusing on profitability and operational efficiency through targeted initiatives [6]. Group 4: Challenges - A significant decline in hardware sales during the fourth quarter of 2024 negatively impacted overall performance, and this trend is expected to continue into the first quarter of 2025, putting pressure on total revenues [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - According to the Zacks model, Stem currently has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating that the odds of an earnings beat are not favorable [8].
Stem to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?