Boston Beer Q1 Revenues & Earnings Beat, Tariff Fears Loom on Outlook

Core Insights - The Boston Beer Company reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with earnings per share of $2.16, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 78 cents, marking a 108% year-over-year improvement [3] - Net revenues reached $453.9 million, a 6.5% increase from the prior-year quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $432.3 million, driven by higher pricing and volume gains [3] - The company is focused on executing its operating plans for the summer season, leveraging a diversified brand portfolio and innovation pipeline despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges [2] Financial Performance - Gross profit improved by 17.7% year over year to $219.3 million, with gross margin expanding by 460 basis points to 48.3% from 43.7% in the previous year [9] - Advertising, promotional, and selling expenses rose by 14.4% to $137.5 million due to increased investments in media and local marketing, while general and administrative expenses decreased by 4.8% to $48 million [10] - As of March 29, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $152.5 million and total stockholders' equity of $897 million, with sufficient liquidity to meet cash requirements [11] Shipment and Depletion Trends - Shipment volume increased by 5.3% year over year to 1.7 million barrels, primarily driven by higher shipments in brands like Sun Cruiser, Hard Mountain Dew, and Twisted Tea, although depletions fell by 1% year over year [5][6] - Distributor inventory averaged nearly five weeks on hand, indicating appropriate inventory levels for each brand [8] Future Guidance - The company anticipates tariffs to have an unfavorable cost impact of $20-$30 million in 2025, which could reduce earnings per share by $1.25-$1.90 [13] - Depletions and shipments are expected to fluctuate in 2025, with second-quarter shipments anticipated to outpace depletions, but a reversal is expected in the third quarter [14] - The gross margin is projected to be between 45-47% for 2025, factoring in negative impacts from shortfall fees and non-cash expenses [15] Capital Expenditures and Share Repurchase - Capital spending is expected to be between $90-$110 million in 2025, aimed at enhancing brewery capabilities and efficiencies [17] - The company repurchased Class A common stocks worth $49.2 million in the first quarter of 2025, bringing total year-to-date repurchases to $60.5 million [12]