Is Verizon Stock a Buy After First-Quarter Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Verizon reported improved revenue and profits in Q1 2025, but the results did not meet investor expectations, leading to a decline in stock price due to higher-than-expected subscriber cancellations [1][10]. Financial Performance - Verizon's Q1 revenue reached $33.5 billion, a 1.5$5 billion, reflecting a 5.5% increase from the same quarter in 2023 [2]. - Free cash flow rose to $3.6 billion, up from$2.7 billion in the previous year [3]. - Quarterly dividend expenses were approximately 2.9 billion, providing reassurance to income-focused investors [3]. Subscriber Metrics - Verizon lost 289,000 subscribers in the last quarter, significantly higher than the expected loss of 197,000 [3]. Market Competition - The company faces ongoing competitive pressures from AT&T and T-Mobile, necessitating heavy investments in network maintenance and upgrades, with capital expenditures of 4.1 billion in Q1 [5]. - This competitive landscape requires Verizon to manage its financial resources carefully, especially given its substantial debt load [5]. Debt and Financial Health - Verizon has a total debt of $143.6 billion against total equity of$102 billion, raising concerns about its financial stability [6]. - The company incurred $1.6 billion in interest costs during the quarter, with only a$365 million reduction in debt [6]. - The current annual dividend payout is $2.71 per share, yielding 6.4%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's yield of just under 1.5% [7]. Dividend Considerations - The long history of dividend increases (18 consecutive years) has made Verizon popular among income investors, but there are concerns that the dividend may become unsustainable due to the company's debt situation [7][9]. - Comparisons are drawn to AT&T's dividend cut, which occurred after financial difficulties, suggesting that Verizon's management may need to reconsider its dividend policy [9]. Long-term Outlook - Despite a mixed Q1 report, long-term challenges remain significant for Verizon, with stock performance up nearly 35% since late 2023 [10]. - The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10 suggests it may be undervalued, but the high dividend yield could be at risk as the company seeks to reduce its debt [10][11].