Workflow
本周外盘看点丨欧美一季度GDP将公布,特朗普上任百天迎考验
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-04-27 03:45

Core Viewpoint - The international market experienced significant fluctuations last week, influenced by changes in tariff situations, leading to volatility in gold prices and a rebound in U.S. stock markets. Key economic data releases and earnings reports are anticipated this week, which may impact market sentiment and economic forecasts [2][3][4]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP for Q1 is expected to show a sharp decline from 2.4% in Q4 to around 0.5%, reflecting the economic impact of tariff expectations [3]. - The upcoming non-farm payroll report will be closely monitored, especially after March's employment figures exceeded expectations [3]. - The PCE data for March is crucial as it is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator, alongside other forward-looking data such as the ISM manufacturing index and consumer confidence index [3]. Earnings Reports - The earnings season is entering a busy week with major companies like Visa, Coca-Cola, Pfizer, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Amazon, and Berkshire Hathaway set to report their financial results [4]. - Warren Buffett will also be present at the annual Berkshire shareholder meeting, which is a significant event for investors [4]. Commodity Market - International oil prices have declined due to concerns over oversupply and tariff uncertainties, with WTI crude oil dropping 1.55% to $63.02 per barrel and Brent crude oil falling 1.60% to $66.87 per barrel [5]. - Gold prices have also retreated, with COMEX gold futures down 0.79% to $3282.40 per ounce, despite a year-to-date increase of over 25% [5]. European Economic Outlook - The Eurozone's PMI data indicates a challenging economic landscape due to new tariffs, with ECB President Lagarde noting increased risks to economic growth [6]. - Upcoming inflation data and Q1 GDP figures for the Eurozone will be critical in shaping future monetary policy, as inflation continues to decline [6]. Upcoming Events - A detailed schedule of key economic releases and earnings reports is outlined for the week, including various countries' GDP, CPI, and manufacturing PMI data [7].