美国牵头的“乌克兰和平协议”注定失败

Group 1 - The article suggests that the "Ukraine peace agreement" is unlikely to succeed, with the expectation that any future agreement will require U.S. approval, as Ukraine cannot act against U.S. interests [1] - The U.S. perspective indicates that Trump believes Russia's non-occupation of Ukraine would be a step towards peace, implying that the U.S. has psychologically accepted Crimea as part of Russia, although it will not officially acknowledge this [2] - Russia is reportedly prepared to reach an agreement with the U.S., seeking the lifting of sanctions, particularly regarding its natural gas pipeline to Western Europe, although there is significant opposition within the Republican Party [2][3] Group 2 - Ukraine maintains a firm stance on territorial issues, refusing to recognize Crimea as Russian territory, and any leader who signs an agreement would be seen as a traitor [3] - The article highlights that both Russia and Ukraine are not genuinely interested in a long-term agreement, with Russia feeling it has not gained enough and Ukraine determined to continue fighting despite potential U.S. disengagement [3][4] - The potential for Europe to withdraw support for Ukraine could lead to a halt in conflict, but current statements from all parties indicate that this scenario is not imminent [4]