把握震荡债市左侧布局机会

Core Viewpoint - The current complex overseas situation has impacted the domestic stock and bond markets, leading to a potential short-term adjustment in bond yields, although a long-term downward trend in yields is expected due to policies aimed at reducing overall financing costs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The bond yields have recently declined to previous low levels after short-term risk release, indicating a potential for market fluctuations in the near term [1]. - The bond market is expected to benefit from coordinated fiscal and monetary policies aimed at stabilizing economic growth, with short-term instruments showing more certainty in allocation [2]. - The influence of fundamental factors on bond pricing is anticipated to increase, with expectations of adjustments in market perceptions regarding deflation and interest rate cuts [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The current market environment is characterized by increased trading activity, with a focus on capturing excess returns through duration management and individual bond selection rather than leveraging strategies [3]. - The strategy of left-side trading is deemed more effective in capturing excess returns, with adjustments in positions based on market fluctuations [3]. - A new bond fund managed by the company is set to launch, emphasizing the importance of stability in the liability side of the portfolio and the potential for enhancing returns through individual bond selection [4].