弘则固收叶青：化债从"进行时"到"完成时"

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the debt resolution work in China has entered a new phase, shifting from a focus on risk factors to development factors, with significant progress in debt reduction across various regions [1][2][4] - As of the end of April, a total of 24,469.03 billion yuan has been resolved in debt, with an average of 429.28 million yuan per mention, highlighting the scale and systematic nature of the debt resolution efforts [1] - 14 provinces and cities have mentioned achieving debt clearance, including economically developed regions like Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Guangdong, as well as some central and western provinces such as Yunnan and Guizhou, indicating substantial breakthroughs in debt resolution across different development levels [1] Group 2 - The focus of debt resolution work is expected to shift towards establishing a normalized debt risk prevention mechanism in the third quarter of 2025, with major economic provinces playing a crucial role [2][4] - The interaction between debt resolution and development is anticipated to lay a solid foundation for the next five-year plan, promoting high-quality economic development in China [2][4] - The bond market is expected to have limited short-term space, with better performance in short-term non-government bonds, while long-term urban investment bonds face significant upward pressure [2][4]