国金证券：给予神州细胞买入评级

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights Shenzhou Cell's strong performance driven by eight key products, achieving profitability for the first time and showcasing a rich pipeline for future growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.513 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 112 million, and a non-recurring net profit of 474 million, marking a 33% year-on-year revenue growth [2][3]. - For Q1 2025, the company recorded revenue of 519 million, net profit attributable to shareholders of 64 million, and a non-recurring net profit of 24 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15%, 14%, and 85% respectively [2]. Operational Analysis - The restructuring of the eight key products led to a revenue of nearly 2.5 billion in 2024, with the first-ever achievement of positive profitability [3]. - The product Anjain achieved stable sales of 1.89 billion, growing by 6.18% year-on-year, despite price reductions in regional and alliance collective procurement [3]. - Sales of three antibody products exceeded 620 million, with a remarkable year-on-year growth of 499.80% [3]. Research and Development - In 2024, the company invested 936 million in R&D, focusing on clinical studies for products like SCT1000, SCT650C, and SCTB14, as well as preclinical development of multiple pipeline products [4]. - The monoclonal antibody SCT-I10A was approved for marketing in China in February 2025 for treating head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and liver cancer [4]. - Several innovative biologics and vaccines are in development, including SCT650C for autoimmune diseases and SCTB14 for solid tumor immunotherapy, with Phase II clinical trials initiated [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards by 7% and 17% to 3 billion and 3.9 billion respectively, with net profit forecasts reduced by 47% and 39% to 224 million and 450 million [5]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.9 billion and a net profit of 789 million by 2027 [5]. - The rating for the company remains "Buy" [5].