低收入经济体或遭到贸易紧张局势更严重冲击——访IMF亚太部主任斯里尼瓦桑

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing trade tensions are causing a slowdown in economic growth in Asia, with low-income economies facing particularly severe impacts, although major economies like China have significant domestic demand potential [1][2] Group 1: Economic Growth Forecast - The IMF has revised its economic growth forecast for the Asia-Pacific region to 3.9% for this year, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from previous estimates due to escalating trade tensions and tightening financial conditions [1] - The IMF warns of economic downside risks, citing rising uncertainty, further tightening of financial conditions, and persistent weak external demand as potential factors for more severe negative impacts on the region's economy [1] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - The IMF suggests that Asian economies should pursue structural reforms to enhance domestic demand and create a balanced development model that emphasizes both internal and external demand [2] - The IMF encourages Asian economies to stimulate consumption and boost private investment to foster a more balanced growth pattern [2] - The importance of deepening regional economic integration is emphasized, with significant trade growth potential among Asian economies [2] Group 3: Trade Agreements - The IMF highlights the benefits of clear, stable, and predictable trade environments, advocating for pragmatic and constructive agreements, whether regional, cross-regional, or bilateral, to stimulate growth through exports [2]