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国海证券:中国轮胎企业加速海外建厂布局 关税政策下成本优势或持续巩固
智通财经网·2025-04-28 07:56

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Chinese tire companies are accelerating their overseas factory layout, expanding from Southeast Asia to diversified markets such as Europe, North America, and Africa, transitioning from scale expansion to value creation [1][2] - The average import price of semi-steel tires in the U.S. for 2024 is projected to be $62 per tire, with those from Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam averaging $40 per tire. The average import price for all-steel tires is $117 per tire, with those from Cambodia and Vietnam averaging around $80-85 per tire [2][3] - The imposition of a 25% tariff may further widen the price gap between Chinese tires and those from North America and Japan, thereby solidifying cost advantages for Chinese manufacturers [2][3] Group 2 - The new 25% tariff on passenger car and light truck tires under Section 232 may not significantly reduce the cost advantage of tires imported from low-cost regions compared to high-cost regions [2][3] - Historical data indicates that tariffs have not effectively increased domestic tire production in the U.S. due to high labor costs, significant investment requirements, and long construction periods [4] - The high-end market for tires presents a significant opportunity for Chinese manufacturers, allowing them to escape low-end competition and enhance profitability in markets outside the U.S. [5] Group 3 - Recommended stocks include Sailun Tire (601058.SH), Senking (002984.SZ), Linglong Tire (601966.SH), General Shares (601500.SH), Triangle Tire (601163.SH), Guizhou Tire (000589.SZ), and Wind God Shares (600469.SH) [6]