Insights Into MasterCard (MA) Q1: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that MasterCard will report quarterly earnings of $3.57 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.9%, with revenues expected to reach $7.13 billion, a 12.3% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.1%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Revenue from transaction processing assessments is projected to be $3.39 billion, up 9.9% year over year [5]. - Domestic assessments are expected to generate $2.65 billion, reflecting a 7.2% increase [5]. - Cross-border assessments are estimated to reach $2.55 billion, indicating a 14% year-over-year growth [5]. - Other network assessments are projected at $234.77 million, showing a 3.9% increase [6]. Transaction Volume Estimates - Switched transactions are expected to total 40.29 billion, compared to 36.65 billion in the same quarter last year [6]. - Gross dollar volume for all Mastercard programs in the APMEA region is projected at $591.65 billion, up from $570 billion year-over-year [7]. - In Canada, the gross dollar volume is expected to reach $64.95 billion, compared to $62 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. - For Europe, the gross dollar volume is estimated at $840.75 billion, up from $740 billion year-over-year [8]. - Latin America's gross dollar volume is projected at $224.13 billion, compared to $205 billion in the same quarter last year [9]. - The worldwide gross dollar volume, excluding the United States, is estimated at $1,721.48 billion, up from $1,578 billion year-over-year [10]. - The total worldwide gross dollar volume is expected to reach $2,481.19 billion, compared to $2,290 billion in the same quarter last year [11]. - The gross dollar volume for the United States is projected at $759.72 billion, compared to $712 billion in the same quarter last year [12]. Stock Performance - MasterCard shares have decreased by 1.3% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has declined by 4.3% [12].