Freightcar America (RAIL) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Freightcar America (RAIL) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite a decline in revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.08 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of +300%, while revenues are projected to be $121.06 million, a decrease of 24.8% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 12% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [10][11]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral position, which further challenges the likelihood of exceeding the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Freightcar America had an expected EPS of $0.05 but delivered $0.21, resulting in a surprise of +320% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - While the company does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other influencing factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [16].