Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q1 Release

Core Viewpoint - Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be released on May 5, 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $4.22, reflecting an 11.3% decrease year-over-year, while revenues are projected to be $2.82 billion, up 4.8% from the previous year [3][2] - A positive surprise in earnings could lead to a stock price increase, while a miss could result in a decline [2] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.15% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4] - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model suggests that a positive or negative reading can indicate the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [6][7] Earnings Surprise History - Vertex has beaten consensus EPS estimates in two out of the last four quarters, with a recent surprise of -0.25% when it reported earnings of $3.98 against an expectation of $3.99 [12][13] Industry Comparison - Another company in the same industry, Travere Therapeutics (TVTX), is expected to report a loss of $0.55 per share, which represents a year-over-year increase of 68.8%, with revenues projected at $74.33 million, up 79.7% from the previous year [17] - Travere has an Earnings ESP of 11.18% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate, despite not having beaten estimates in the last four quarters [18]