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What's in the Cards for Kimco Realty Stock in Q1 Earnings?
Kimco RealtyKimco Realty(US:KIM) ZACKSยท2025-04-28 16:15

Company Overview - Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, with anticipated year-over-year growth in revenues and funds from operations (FFO) per share [1] - In the last reported quarter, Kimco met the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFO at 42 cents per share, reflecting better-than-expected revenue growth despite rising interest expenses [2] Industry Insights - The U.S. retail real estate market experienced a pullback in net absorption in Q1 2025, with a negative shift leading to a national vacancy rate increase of 20 basis points to 5.5% year over year [3][4] - The first quarter saw negative net absorption of 5.9 million square feet, marking the largest single-quarter decline since Q3 2020, with neighborhood centers accounting for 75% of the demand pullback [4] - Only 2.2 million square feet of new shopping center space was delivered from the beginning of the year through April 14, 2025, contributing to a scarcity in the market [5] Performance Projections - Kimco's top line is projected to improve, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues at $528.9 million, indicating around 5% growth from the prior year [9] - Estimated net revenues from rental properties stand at $517.6 million, suggesting a 3.8% year-over-year increase, with leased occupancy expected to rise 10 basis points to 96.1% [10] - Interest expenses are projected to increase by 6.6% year over year for the first quarter [10] Market Position - Kimco's portfolio of premium shopping centers, primarily grocery-anchored and located in key metropolitan areas, is expected to support stable revenue generation [6][7] - The diverse tenant base, including essential and necessity-based retailers, is likely to contribute to top-line growth during the upcoming quarter [7]