Can SNOW Stock Continue Its Rally After Gaining 33% in Six Months?

Core Viewpoint - Snowflake (SNOW) has demonstrated significant stock performance, with a 32.9% increase over the past six months, contrasting with declines in the broader Computer and Technology sector and the Internet Software industry [1] Customer Growth and Revenue - As of January 31, 2025, Snowflake's customer base grew to 11,159 from 9,384 a year prior, with 745 of these being part of the Forbes Global 2000, contributing to 45% of fiscal 2025 revenues of $3.6 billion, which is a 29% increase from fiscal 2024 [2] - The net revenue retention rate stands at 126% as of January 31, 2025, with the number of customers generating over $1 million in trailing 12-month product revenue rising from 455 to 580 [3] Product and Technology Advancements - Snowflake's expanding product portfolio, including offerings like Apache Iceberg and Hybrid tables, has been instrumental in attracting new clients [6] - In April 2025, Snowflake enhanced its AI Data Cloud by integrating core capabilities with Apache Iceberg tables, improving query performance and security [7] - The introduction of Cortex AI and its integration with models from OpenAI and Anthropic has led to increased customer engagement, with over 4,000 customers utilizing Snowflake's AI and ML technology weekly [8] Strategic Partnerships - Snowflake's partnerships with major companies such as Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA have significantly contributed to its growth [9] - An expanded partnership with Microsoft announced in April 2025 aims to integrate OpenAI's models into Snowflake Cortex AI, enhancing productivity through AI-driven insights [10] - The collaboration with NVIDIA allows businesses to create customized AI data applications, improving AI performance [11] - The partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) has been expanded to enhance customer-focused innovation and deepen product integrations, serving over 6,000 joint customers [12] - Snowflake achieved Department of Defense (DoD) Impact Level 5 Provisional Authorization on AWS GovCloud US-West, enabling secure solutions for handling Controlled Unclassified Information [13] Financial Guidance - For Q1 fiscal 2026, Snowflake anticipates product revenues between $955 million and $960 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 21% to 22% [14] - The fiscal 2026 product revenue forecast is set to increase by 30% from fiscal 2025 to $3.46 billion [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 fiscal 2026 revenues is $1 billion, indicating a 21.13% year-over-year growth, with earnings expected to rise by 57.14% [15] - The fiscal 2026 revenue estimate stands at $4.44 billion, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 22.47%, with earnings projected to increase by 38.55% [16] Valuation and Investment Outlook - Snowflake shares are currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 11.2X compared to the industry average of 4.86X [17] - Despite the premium valuation, the company's strong portfolio and expanding partner base support its growth prospects, justifying the current stock price [19]