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通用算力相对过剩 智能算力相对短缺 中国算力市场的成长烦恼
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-04-28 20:33

Core Insights - The Chinese computing power market is experiencing a structural imbalance characterized by both surplus and shortage, with general computing power being relatively overabundant while intelligent computing power is in short supply [3][4][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Several listed companies have announced winning bids for data center projects or signed computing power service contracts, indicating ongoing demand in the market [2][4]. - Major state-owned enterprises like China Mobile and China Telecom are significantly increasing their investments in computing power, with China Mobile planning a budget of 37.3 billion yuan for 2025, accounting for 25% of its total capital expenditure [5][4]. - The International Data Corporation (IDC) predicts that China's intelligent computing power will reach 1,037.3 EFLOPS by 2025 and 2,781.9 EFLOPS by 2028, reflecting a growing market scale [5][4]. Group 2: Structural Issues - The average rack utilization rate in China's IDC market is around 58%, indicating a significant amount of idle computing power [6]. - There is a notable disparity in computing power quality and regional distribution, with general computing power being overabundant in some areas while intelligent computing power is scarce, particularly in eastern regions where demand is high [6][7]. Group 3: Causes of Imbalance - The rapid growth and iteration of computing power demand, coupled with the transition from older to newer hardware, have led to mismatches in supply and demand [8]. - A lack of understanding among both buyers and sellers regarding the requirements and capabilities of intelligent computing centers has contributed to the imbalance [9][10]. - Some companies prioritize low costs in western regions for building computing centers, neglecting the necessary conditions for effective operation, which leads to mismatched resources [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to optimize and iterate on computing power scheduling, hardware, and supporting software to address the current challenges [11][14]. - The trend of "East Data West Computing" is emerging, where eastern data centers handle frequently accessed data while western centers manage less time-sensitive tasks [12]. - Domestic high-end computing hardware is accelerating in development, with companies like Huawei introducing competitive chips to fill the supply gap [13].