THDB(SH:600867) Chang Jiang Shang Bao·2025-04-28 23:42Core Viewpoint - Tonghua Dongbao (600867.SH), a major domestic insulin manufacturer, has significantly revised its 2024 annual performance forecast, indicating a substantial shift from profit to loss due to various factors including price reductions from a new round of insulin procurement and legal liabilities [1][2][3][4] Financial Performance Summary - The company now expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately -42.72 million yuan for 2024, a decrease of about 1.211 billion yuan or 103.66% year-on-year [1] - The forecast for net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is now -9.1954 million yuan, down approximately 1.177 billion yuan or 100.79% compared to the previous year [1] - In January 2024, the initial forecast estimated a profit of 40.53 million yuan, which would have represented a decrease of about 1.127 billion yuan or 96.53% year-on-year [1] Operational Adjustments - The decline in net profit is attributed to the impact of a new insulin procurement policy, which led to price reductions and inventory adjustments by commercial clients, resulting in decreased sales revenue [1] - The company has terminated the clinical research and development of the THDB0207 injection project, which is expected to reduce profits by 270 million yuan in 2024 [2] Legal and Financial Liabilities - The company is required to pay 61.31 million yuan in damages to Ganli Pharmaceutical due to a trademark infringement lawsuit, which was previously estimated at 30 million yuan [2] - This legal ruling necessitated an adjustment in the company's financial liabilities and losses, impacting the overall profit forecast [2] Additional Financial Adjustments - The second revision of the performance forecast indicates a shift from profit to loss for both net profit attributable to shareholders and net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses [3] - The company plans to transfer three R&D projects from its subsidiaries, which is expected to affect deferred tax assets and reduce net profit by 52.74 million yuan [3] - The previously recognized loss of 254 million yuan related to the THDB0207 project has been adjusted to be classified as a regular loss rather than a non-recurring one, impacting the net profit by 215 million yuan [3] Market Reaction - The repeated adjustments to the performance forecast within a short span of three months have raised concerns and skepticism in the market regarding the company's financial stability and operational transparency [4]