赛特新材(688398)：收入增速回升、毛利率承压拖累利润

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by the vacuum insulation board business, but faced a significant decline in net profit due to rising costs and decreased gross margin [1][2]. Revenue Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 934 million yuan in 2024 and 246 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 11.2% and 10.1% respectively [1]. - The revenue growth in 2024 was primarily driven by the vacuum insulation board segment, which generated 915 million yuan in revenue with a sales volume of 9.97 million square meters, reflecting year-on-year increases of 11.4% and 13.1% respectively [1]. - Quarterly revenue for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 was 265 million yuan and 246 million yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 6.9% and 10.1%, attributed to increased demand in downstream home appliance sectors [1]. Profitability and Cost Analysis - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 29.1%, a decrease of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by a decline in high-margin export sales and rising raw material costs [2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 25.1%, down 9.4 percentage points year-on-year, but improved by 1.5 percentage points from Q4 2024, likely due to efficiency gains at a subsidiary [2]. - The operating expense ratio for 2024 was 18.0%, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased management and financial expenses [2]. - The net profit margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 8.3% and 4.0%, reflecting declines of 4.4 and 8.9 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Cash Flow and Investment - The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was 65.65 million yuan, down 12.7% year-on-year, primarily due to lower profitability [3]. - In Q1 2025, the net cash flow from operating activities was 5.11 million yuan, a significant decline of 82.3% year-on-year, mainly due to reduced tax refunds [3]. - The company invested 324 million yuan and 58 million yuan in fixed and intangible assets in 2024 and Q1 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 22.4% and a decrease of 35.2% respectively, indicating ongoing expansion projects [3]. Future Outlook - The company is a leading provider of systematic solutions in the vacuum insulation energy-saving sector, with ongoing advancements in product and process iterations, and new application developments [3]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 98 million yuan, 137 million yuan, and 183 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25, 18, and 13 times, reflecting a cautious outlook due to margin pressures [3].