兆易创新(603986)：营收逆势实现环比增长

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a revenue of 7.356 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 27.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.103 billion yuan, up 584.2%, aligning with previous forecasts [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.909 billion yuan, showing a year-over-year growth of 17.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.9% [1] - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 235 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.6% but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 13.2% [1] - The overall gross margin for Q1 2025 was 37.44%, with a year-over-year decrease of 0.72 percentage points but an improvement of 4.27 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, driven by product structure optimization [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The storage business generated revenue of 5.194 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 27.4%, with significant growth in self-branded DRAM products [2] - The MCU business revenue reached 1.706 billion yuan, up 29.6% year-over-year, supported by demand in energy, optical modules, and networking sectors, with a shipment of 540 million units [2] - The sensor business reported revenue of 448 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27.2% [2] Group 3: Market Outlook - The DRAM business is expected to see a turning point in the second half of 2025, with signs of price recovery for large-capacity products and a more balanced market supply-demand structure [3] - The company anticipates a revenue contribution from DDR4 8Gb and LPDDR4 products in 2025, with a projected transaction amount with Changxin reaching 1.161 billion yuan [3] - The MCU segment is expected to continue gaining market share in industrial, white goods, and automotive sectors, while also exploring new markets like robotics [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The target price is set at 139.1 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating, with projected net profits of 1.51 billion yuan, 1.91 billion yuan, and 2.30 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid growth of customized storage products driven by AI developments, with a valuation of 61 times the 2025 PE ratio [4]