恺英网络(002517)：Q1业绩不俗 新品贡献增量

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 5.118 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 19.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.628 billion yuan, up 11.41% year-over-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.353 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.46% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13.62% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 518 million yuan, showing a year-over-year growth of 21.57% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 48.71% [1] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 81.28% and 83.57% respectively, with a slight year-over-year decrease of 2.19 percentage points for 2024 but an increase of 1.53 percentage points for Q1 2025 [3] Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - The new product "Dragon Valley World," co-published with Shengqu Games, topped the App Store game rankings on its first day and generated over 20 million yuan in revenue within five days of its launch [2] - The company has a strong pipeline of self-developed projects, including "Tomb Raider: Journey" and "Douluo Continent: Legend of the Evil," which are expected to drive future growth [2] - The company’s overseas revenue reached 375 million yuan in 2024, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 221.48% [2] Group 3: Strategic Outlook and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.04 billion yuan and 2.41 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 9% and 7% due to delays in product launches [4] - The target price for the company is set at 23.88 yuan, based on a 25X PE for 2025, which is an increase from the previous target of 20.81 yuan [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by a rich product pipeline and successful overseas expansion [4]