Hanbell(002158) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-29 02:43Core Viewpoint - Hanbell Precise Machinery reported a revenue of 3.674 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 863 million yuan, a decrease of 0.28% year-on-year, primarily due to the downturn in the real estate market affecting demand for refrigeration compressors and photovoltaic vacuum pumps [1] Financial Performance - The gross margin for 2024 was 38.31%, down by 2.01 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a price war triggered by supply-demand mismatches in the photovoltaic industry [2] - The net profit margin improved to 23.53%, an increase of 1.02 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost control measures [2] - The operating expense ratio for 2024 was 11.34%, down by 3.08 percentage points year-on-year, with management expenses at 4.03% (up 0.19 percentage points), sales expenses at 3.84% (down 0.88 percentage points), and R&D expenses at 4.95% (down 0.76 percentage points) [2] Industry Outlook - The demand for refrigeration compressors is expected to benefit from growth in the cold chain logistics and heat pump industries, as well as equipment upgrades, despite pressure from the commercial central air conditioning market due to real estate adjustments [3] - The total demand for cold chain logistics in 2024 is projected to reach 365 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.3% [3] - The semiconductor vacuum pump market is seeing a trend towards domestic substitution, with the company increasing its marketing efforts in the domestic semiconductor industry and beginning bulk deliveries to recognized semiconductor manufacturers [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 931 million yuan, 1.032 billion yuan, and 1.138 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment due to unexpected pressures on commercial air conditioning and photovoltaic vacuum pumps [4] - The target price is set at 20.88 yuan, based on a 12 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]