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江波龙(301308):25Q1营收环比+1.5% 看好存储行业回暖+企业级存储放量增长

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight revenue increase in Q1 2025, with a narrowing of non-recurring net profit losses, indicating a performance in line with expectations despite industry challenges [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 4.256 billion yuan, up 1.5% quarter-on-quarter, with a non-recurring net profit of -202 million yuan, showing a reduction in losses [1] - Gross margin was 10.35%, down 0.81 percentage points, while net margin was -3.36%, down 2.02 percentage points [1] - The decline in performance was attributed to slow recovery in consumer electronics and inventory digestion in downstream markets [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The embedded storage segment generated 8.425 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 90.5%, accounting for 48% of total revenue [3] - The solid-state drive (SSD) segment reported 4.147 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, up 48% year-on-year, representing 24% of total revenue [4] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in performance starting from Q2 2025 due to inventory digestion and production adjustments in the storage industry [4] Group 3: International Business Growth - The overseas business, particularly the Lexar brand, saw a revenue increase of 20.7% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the Brazilian subsidiary Zilia reported a 45.1% increase [5] - The acquisition of Zilia is expected to enhance the company's overseas growth potential [5] Group 4: Enterprise Storage - Revenue from enterprise storage products (eSSD and RDIMM) exceeded 319 million yuan in Q1 2025, marking a growth of over 200% year-on-year [6] - The company has successfully penetrated various sectors including internet, telecommunications, finance, and servers, with expectations for continued order growth [6] Group 5: Product Development - The company successfully mass-produced its self-developed UFS 4.1 controller chip in March 2025, targeting the high-end smart terminal market [7] - As of March 19, over 30 million units of the self-developed controller chips have been applied [7] Group 6: Inventory Management - As of Q1 2025, the company's inventory amounted to 7.814 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, but up 3.2% year-on-year [8] - Inventory turnover days were 185 days, showing a decrease of 4 days quarter-on-quarter and an increase of 5 days year-on-year [8] Group 7: Market Outlook - The global AIGC trend and the "Digital China" initiative are expected to provide new growth momentum for the storage market, with the company positioned as a leading independent storage manufacturer [9] - Projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 986 million yuan, 1.617 billion yuan, and 2.012 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 33, 20, and 16 times [9]