Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 2.65 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 234 million, up 7.3%, slightly below expectations due to higher-than-expected impairment provisions caused by slower cash collection [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the company achieved revenues of 1.32 billion and 470 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 32.4% and 32.2% [1] - The new orders signed in 2024 amounted to 3.87 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.2% [1] - The company’s comprehensive gross margin for 2024 was 25.49%, an increase of 0.75 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 514 million, an increase of 82 million year-on-year, with a cash collection/payment ratio of 106.4%/86.4% [3] Business Segmentation - In 2024, revenue from design consulting, electromechanical engineering, and equipment manufacturing was 610 million, 1.575 billion, and 399 million, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +0.63%, +46.64%, and -28.35% [2] - The design business is successfully extending into electromechanical engineering, contributing to rapid revenue growth in this segment [2] Cost and Profitability - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 11.5%, a decrease of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year, with net profit margin at 8.81%, down 0.2 percentage points [3] - The impairment expense as a percentage of revenue increased by 2.25 percentage points to 4.11% in 2024 [3] Future Outlook and Valuation - The company expects a favorable outlook in grain storage construction, while cold chain logistics design demand may face pressure, leading to a downward revision of future revenue forecasts [4] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 268 million, 294 million, and 318 million, reflecting changes of -7.5% and -9.3% [4] - The target price is set at 12.57, based on a 24x PE for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]
中粮科工(301058)：机电业务拓展顺利 现金流表现优异