明晚24时成品油调价搁浅概率较大

Group 1 - The international crude oil market has shown a fluctuating trend during the current pricing cycle, leading to a narrowing of the domestic reference crude oil change rate, with an adjustment amount of 45 yuan/ton, which has not reached the 50 yuan/ton adjustment threshold [1] - As of April 28, the domestic reference crude oil change rate was calculated at 1.11%, indicating a potential increase in gasoline and diesel prices by 45 yuan/ton, but still below the retail price limit for refined oil [1] - The upcoming OPEC+ production increase and ongoing uncertainties in trade situations are contributing to the pressure on crude oil demand and prices, resulting in a mixed market outlook [1] Group 2 - With one working day remaining before the pricing window opens, the likelihood of a suspension in domestic refined oil price adjustments is high, although an upward adjustment cannot be completely ruled out [2] - If the price adjustment results in a suspension, it will mark the second suspension of refined oil retail price adjustments since 2025, maintaining fuel costs for residents and logistics for the next half month [2]