智通财经网·2025-04-29 07:21Core Viewpoint - BlackRock's stock analyst team encourages investors to maintain a moderate exposure to AI-driven stocks despite recent global trade policy volatility, emphasizing the long-term growth potential of AI investments remains intact [1][2]. Group 1: AI Investment Outlook - BlackRock believes that AI-driven technology companies with strong profitability and balance sheets are best positioned to navigate the current macro environment [2]. - The demand for AI and machine learning (ML) technologies is prioritized in IT budgets of U.S. tech companies, indicating robust growth in this sector [2][3]. - BlackRock's analysts predict that AI will continue to be a key driver of global stock market performance in the coming years, despite ongoing trade policy uncertainties [3]. Group 2: Impact of Trade Policies - The aggressive tariff policies initiated by the Trump administration have led to significant market volatility, with global stock markets losing over $10 trillion in value at one point [2][3]. - Despite the pressure from tariffs, BlackRock asserts that the "alpha" attributes of AI investments—defined as returns exceeding those of the broader market—remain strong [1][3]. - Companies in the AI infrastructure sector, particularly those involved in AI GPU and ASIC production, are expected to benefit from potential tariff exemptions on high-performance chips [5][6]. Group 3: Company Performance and Projections - TSMC reported a 60% increase in net profit, maintaining a revenue growth forecast of around 25% for the year, with AI-related revenue expected to double [6][7]. - TSMC's management anticipates a compound annual growth rate of approximately 20% over the next five years, with AI-related revenue projected to grow by about 45% [7]. - BlackRock estimates that major U.S. tech companies plan to invest over $315 billion in AI infrastructure capital expenditures this year, with NVIDIA leading in AI GPU investments [7][8]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - BlackRock recommends that investors strategically maintain exposure to AI-driven stocks, particularly those with robust fundamentals, as they are likely to outperform the market [8]. - The firm suggests utilizing actively managed ETF products to capture evolving investment opportunities within the AI technology stack [8]. - The analysts emphasize the importance of a flexible, research-driven approach to identify beneficiaries of the AI investment theme as it matures [8].