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印度和巴基斯坦紧张局势“再燃”,冲突将走向何方?
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-04-29 08:15

Core Points - The ongoing conflict between India and Pakistan in the Kashmir region has raised international concerns, with fears of escalation, although nuclear war is deemed unlikely by Pakistani officials [1][4] - The recent attack on tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir resulted in significant casualties, prompting India to take strong retaliatory measures against Pakistan [3][4] - India has suspended the Indus Water Treaty, a long-standing agreement on water resource sharing, which has surprised many observers and could have severe implications for Pakistan's agriculture and economy [4][5] Group 1: Conflict Overview - India and Pakistan have engaged in continuous crossfire along the Line of Control in Kashmir, with the situation escalating after a deadly attack on tourists [1][3] - Pakistani Defense Minister Asif expressed concerns about potential invasion by India but ruled out the possibility of nuclear conflict [1][4] - The attack on April 22 resulted in at least 26 deaths, marking one of the most severe assaults on civilians in the region in over two decades [3] Group 2: Retaliatory Measures - Following the attack, India announced a series of measures against Pakistan, including the suspension of a crucial water distribution treaty and the closure of border crossings [3][4] - Pakistan responded with countermeasures, including closing the Wagah border and suspending trade with India [3][4] Group 3: Water Resource Dispute - The suspension of the Indus Water Treaty, which has been in effect for over 60 years, has raised alarms regarding water security in Pakistan [4][5] - Pakistan relies heavily on the Indus River for approximately 70% of its agricultural irrigation and drinking water, making any disruption potentially catastrophic for its economy [5]