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林毅夫:中国拥有大量高素质人才和强大市场需求,在第四次工业革命中具有独特优势
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-04-29 10:16

Group 1 - The core argument presented by Lin Yifu is that developing countries can leverage their latecomer advantage by introducing, digesting, and absorbing advanced technologies, which allows for faster technological development and industrial upgrading compared to developed countries [2] - Lin Yifu forecasts that China has the potential to achieve an 8% high-speed growth before 2035, based on the current gap in per capita GDP between China and developed countries, although this is theoretical and must account for necessary reforms and the complex international environment [2] - The key to economic development speed is effective labor, which is a product of both quantity and quality, and China's labor quality is continuously improving, countering concerns about population aging [2] Group 2 - The transition from an investment-driven growth model to a consumption-driven one is complex, as consumption growth relies on income growth, which in turn depends on productivity improvements driven by technological advancements and industrial upgrades [3] - The distinction between investment-driven and consumption-driven growth lies in whether the focus is on increasing supply or demand, with both paths needing to be pursued simultaneously [3] - The main goal of increasing supply is to foster new supply through industrial and innovation upgrades, while increasing demand involves optimizing distribution systems to reduce wealth disparities and activate consumption potential among lower-income groups [3]