新股前瞻|红星冷链：主业表现承压，区域冷链龙头成长性几何？

Core Viewpoint - Hongxing Coldchain (Hunan) Co., Ltd. is seeking to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, despite a challenging market for cold chain logistics companies and mixed performance in its financials [1][10]. Company Overview - Established in 2006, Hongxing Coldchain is a leading integrated service platform for frozen food trading and cold storage services, with a land area of over 210 acres and a storage capacity of 160,000 tons [1]. - The company is recognized as the first national AAA-level cold chain logistics enterprise in Hunan Province and ranks among the top in market share within the province [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 was reported at RMB 236.736 million, RMB 201.760 million, and RMB 233.576 million, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.67% [2][3]. - Net profit for the same years was RMB 79.112 million, RMB 75.312 million, and RMB 82.880 million, showing a CAGR of 2.35% [2][3]. - The main revenue sources include cold storage services (68.5% of revenue in 2024), leasing services, and handling services [3][6]. Market Dynamics - The cold chain logistics industry is experiencing rapid growth due to increasing consumer demand for fresh food and the expansion of e-commerce in fresh produce and pharmaceuticals [7]. - In 2024, China's cold chain logistics demand is projected to reach 365 million tons, with total revenue of RMB 536.1 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 4.3% and 3.7%, respectively [7]. Competitive Position - Hongxing Coldchain ranks second in the central region of China for frozen food trading services with a market share of 8.9% and first in Hunan Province with a market share of 52.7% [8]. - The company is also the largest provider of cold storage services in both the central region and Hunan Province, with market shares of 2.6% and 13.6%, respectively [8]. Challenges - The company faces declining prices and utilization rates in its core cold storage business, with average monthly storage fees decreasing significantly in recent years [4][6]. - The gross profit margin for cold storage services has dropped from 60.5% in 2022 to 54.4% in 2024, while overall gross profit margin has shown slight fluctuations [6]. - Increased competition from traditional logistics and new retail companies entering the cold chain market poses a significant threat to Hongxing Coldchain's market position [10].