Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q1 Release

Core Viewpoint - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.07 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 22.2%, while revenues are anticipated to reach $1.13 billion, an increase of 8.7% from the previous year [3]. - The stock may experience upward movement if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly reassessed their initial estimates during this period [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +12.50% suggests that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Grocery Outlet was expected to post earnings of $0.17 per share but delivered $0.15, resulting in a surprise of -11.76% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13]. Predictive Indicators - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [8]. - The current Zacks Rank for Grocery Outlet is 3, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11].