东吴证券：给予德方纳米增持评级

Core Viewpoint - 德方纳米's Q1 performance shows signs of improvement with a positive gross margin, indicating a potential turning point in operations [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 7.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 55%, with a net profit loss of 1.34 billion yuan, showing a reduction in losses [1]. - Q1 2025 revenue is projected at 2 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 85%, with a net profit loss of 170 million yuan, indicating a reduction in losses [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 is 0.3%, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.3 percentage points [1]. Production and Sales - In 2024, the company anticipates a slight increase in shipment volume to 226,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with expectations for Q1 2025 shipments to reach 60,000 to 65,000 tons, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 38% [2]. - The company has a total capacity of 450,000 tons, with effective capacity of 260,000 tons for lithium iron phosphate and 110,000 tons for manganese iron phosphate [2]. Pricing and Margins - The average price for lithium iron phosphate in 2024 is expected to be 37,000 yuan per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 59%, with a gross margin of -4.6% [3]. - In Q1 2025, the average price is expected to recover to 36,000 yuan per ton, with a gross margin turning positive at 0.3% [3]. Cost Management - The company has strengthened cost control, with operating expenses in 2024 amounting to 780 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.3% [4]. - Q1 2025 operating expenses are reported at 170 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 31.7% [4]. Investment Recommendations - The company has adjusted its net profit expectations for 2025-2026 to -150 million yuan and 270 million yuan, respectively, while projecting a net profit of 610 million yuan for 2027, indicating a recovery trend [4].