中煤能源(601898)：降本增效助力稳健经营 高长协下防御价值仍强

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices, despite stable production and sales volumes [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 38.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.98 billion yuan, down 20.0% year-on-year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 3.94 billion yuan, a decline of 19.4% year-on-year [1] Coal Production and Sales - The company sold 64.14 million tons of commodity coal in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year [1] - Self-produced commodity coal sales reached 32.68 million tons, up 1.1% year-on-year [1] - The average selling price of coal was 487 yuan/ton, down 17.0% year-on-year, while the average price for self-produced coal was 492 yuan/ton, down 17.7% year-on-year [1][2] Cost and Profitability - The cost of self-produced commodity coal was 270 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7.3% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit per ton of self-produced coal was 222 yuan, down 27.6% year-on-year [2] - Overall coal revenue was 31.25 billion yuan, a decline of 16.6% year-on-year, with operating costs at 23.80 billion yuan, down 13.0% year-on-year [2] Chemical Products Performance - The company sold 355,000 tons of olefins in Q1 2025, a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with an average price of 6,876 yuan/ton, up 0.4% year-on-year [2] - Urea sales reached 600,000 tons, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year, with an average price of 1,702 yuan/ton, down 23.9% year-on-year [2] - Methanol sales were 529,000 tons, up 33.6% year-on-year, with an average price of 1,794 yuan/ton, up 7.1% year-on-year, leading to a turnaround in profitability [2] New Capacity and Projects - The company is advancing coal, electricity, and new energy projects, including a stable release of production capacity from the Dahuize coal mine and the upcoming launch of a 400,000-ton/year project [3] - The company is also constructing a 900,000-ton/year polyolefin project and accelerating the development of various renewable energy projects [3] Dividend and Profit Forecast - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.258 yuan per share for the end of 2024, with a total dividend payout exceeding 30% [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 162.1 billion yuan, 156.5 billion yuan, and 156.0 billion yuan, respectively, with a forecasted net profit of 15 billion yuan, 14.7 billion yuan, and 14.6 billion yuan [3]