太平洋：给予金发科技买入评级

Core Viewpoint - Jinfa Technology has shown significant improvement in its financial performance, with a strong growth trajectory in its core businesses, particularly in modified plastics and new materials, indicating a positive outlook for future growth opportunities [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Jinfa Technology achieved an operating revenue of 60.514 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.825 billion yuan, up 160.36% year-on-year [2][3]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw an operating revenue of 20.050 billion yuan, a 46.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.142 billion yuan, marking a return to profitability [3]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 0.247 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 138.20% [2]. Business Segments - The modified plastics segment remains a leader, with sales of 2.5515 million tons in 2024, a 20.78% increase, and revenue of 32.075 billion yuan, up 18.95% [3]. - The green petrochemical segment improved its performance, achieving revenue of 11.436 billion yuan, a 22.30% increase, despite a negative gross margin of -6.36% [3]. - The new materials segment, particularly in specialty engineering plastics, saw sales of 236,000 tons, a 32.51% increase, with revenue of 3.654 billion yuan, up 15.73% [3]. Growth Drivers - The new materials segment is becoming a significant profit growth point, with advancements in specialty engineering plastics such as LCP, high-temperature nylon, and PPSU/PES, which are being applied in emerging fields like AI servers and electric vehicles [4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new projects, including a 0.6 million ton PPSU/PES facility and a 1.5 million ton LCP project expected to commence in Q2 2025 [4]. - Jinfa Technology is also enhancing its global footprint by establishing production bases in Poland, Mexico, and Indonesia, which will help mitigate tariff risks and leverage local resources [4]. Investment Outlook - Jinfa Technology is positioned as one of the largest and most diverse modified plastics manufacturers globally, capitalizing on new opportunities in areas such as smart driving and AI [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.55 yuan, 0.74 yuan, and 0.91 yuan, respectively, supporting a "buy" rating [5].