机构：不应对美国经济收缩感到意外

Core Viewpoint - The founder of Andersen Capital Management, Peter Andersen, suggests that the contraction of the U.S. economy should not come as a surprise, despite market reactions indicating otherwise [1] Group 1 - The current economic contraction in the U.S. is viewed as predictable by industry experts [1] - Market behavior reflects a sense of surprise regarding the economic contraction, which is inconsistent with expert analysis [1] - The ongoing negotiations by Trump to gain market acceptance of his tariff policies complicate modeling and forecasting efforts [1] Group 2 - The difficulty in making reasonable predictions leads the market to often adopt a pessimistic outlook [1]