ZACKSยท2025-04-30 14:35Industry Overview - The oil and energy sector is experiencing significant challenges in Q1 2025, with falling oil prices and slight increases in natural gas prices creating a complex outlook for growth [1][4] - Oil prices have sharply declined, with West Texas Intermediate crude averaging $71.84 per barrel, down from $77.56 a year ago, primarily due to weaker global economic growth and increased supply [2] - Natural gas prices have surged to an average of $4.15 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), up from $2.13 per MMBtu, driven by colder weather and rising LNG exports [3] Earnings Performance - Energy companies in the S&P 500 are projected to see a 12.9% decline in earnings year-over-year, although this is an improvement from the 22.4% decline in Q4 2024 [4][5] - Revenue for energy companies is expected to decline by 0.3%, contrasting with a 3.8% growth forecast for the broader S&P 500 [4] - Excluding the energy sector, the S&P 500's earnings would rise by 8.3%, indicating the significant drag energy is placing on overall results [5] Company-Specific Insights - TC Energy Corporation (TRP) is expected to report earnings of 72 cents per share, reflecting a 21.74% decrease from the previous year, with a low chance of an earnings beat due to an Earnings ESP of -0.35% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [8][10] - Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) has a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06 per share, indicating a 68.85% increase year-over-year, but also has a low chance of an earnings beat with an Earnings ESP of -4.12% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [10][12] - PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) is projected to report earnings of $3.24 per share, suggesting a significant 476.74% decrease from the prior year, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating low chances for an earnings beat [12][13]