Hamilton Insurance (US:HG) ZACKSยท2025-04-30 15:08Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Hamilton Insurance due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Hamilton Insurance is expected to report earnings of $0.04 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decrease of 97.1% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $586.52 million, indicating an 11% decline from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.98% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive [6][7]. - Hamilton Insurance's current Zacks Rank is 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Hamilton Insurance had an expected EPS of $0.76 but delivered only $0.32, resulting in a surprise of -57.89% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Industry Comparison - Another player in the insurance sector, Lemonade, is expected to report a loss of $0.94 per share, a year-over-year change of -40.3%, with revenues projected at $143.93 million, up 20.9% [17]. - Lemonade has an Earnings ESP of 3.40% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [18].