BorgWarner (BWA) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in BorgWarner's earnings and revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BorgWarner is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $3.39 billion, down 5.6% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.04% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +1.39% suggests analysts have recently become more optimistic about BorgWarner's earnings prospects [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [6][7]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically produced positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [8]. Historical Performance - BorgWarner has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +9.78% in the last reported quarter [12][13]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Automotive - Original Equipment industry, Lear is expected to report earnings of $2.64 per share, down 17% year-over-year, with revenues of $5.56 billion, a decrease of 7.3% [17]. - Lear's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.6% lower, but a higher Most Accurate Estimate results in an Earnings ESP of 3.44%, combined with a Zacks Rank of 4, making predictions of an earnings beat uncertain [18].