GXO Logistics (GXO) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for GXO Logistics despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - GXO Logistics is expected to report earnings of $0.26 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 42.2%, while revenues are projected to be $2.91 billion, an increase of 18.6% from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for May 7, 2025, and could lead to stock price increases if results exceed expectations, or declines if they fall short [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.82% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +1.18% suggests analysts have recently become more optimistic about GXO Logistics' earnings prospects [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. - GXO Logistics currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, GXO Logistics exceeded the expected earnings of $0.94 per share by reporting $1, resulting in a surprise of +6.38% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - While GXO Logistics is positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].