Applied Materials Stock Plunges 17% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Fold?

Core Viewpoint - Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) has experienced a significant decline in share price, dropping 17.1% over the past three months, which is worse than the 13% decline in the Zacks Computer and Technology sector [1][3] Group 1: Market Context and Competition - The recent decline in AMAT's share price is attributed to broader market weakness, particularly a sell-off in tech stocks due to rising trade tensions and concerns over slowing economic growth [3] - AMAT faces stiff competition in the semiconductor industry from companies like Lam Research, ASML Holding, and KLA Corporation, which offer similar engineering solutions [4][6] Group 2: Technological Leadership and Growth Potential - AMAT is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI-driven semiconductors, with significant advancements in chip manufacturing technologies such as gate-all-around (GAA) transistors and advanced packaging [7] - Revenues from advanced semiconductor nodes exceeded $2.5 billion in fiscal 2024, with expectations to double in fiscal 2025, indicating strong growth potential [8] - The transition to GAA transistors is expected to expand AMAT's total addressable market by 15%, with projected revenue growth of 30% per wafer fab capacity expansion [9] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - The advanced packaging segment has seen revenues triple over the past four years, reaching $1.7 billion in fiscal 2024, bolstered by volume orders for Integrated Hybrid Bonding technology [10] - Analysts project revenue growth of 7% and 6.9% for fiscal 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings expected to grow by 8.6% and 7% in the same periods [11] - AMAT's current trading P/E ratio of 15.53 is significantly below the industry average of 23.15, suggesting strong upside potential for long-term investors [12] Group 4: Investment Recommendation - Given its dominant position in semiconductor manufacturing and the potential for recovery as industry conditions stabilize, holding AMAT is recommended for investors [15]