社科院：2024年中国涉农工业增速全面恢复

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China's agricultural industrial growth is expected to fully recover in 2024, with an increase in added value by 4%, moving away from the low growth period since 2022 [1] - In the food industry, the added value of agricultural and sideline food processing, food manufacturing, and beverage and tea manufacturing is projected to grow by 2.2%, 5.8%, and 4.8% respectively, with increases of 2, 2.5, and 4 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - In the non-food industrial sector, the added value of textiles, wood processing, paper manufacturing, and pharmaceutical manufacturing is expected to grow by 5.1%, 0.1%, 8.2%, and 3.6% respectively, with improvements of 5.7, 2.9, 5.1, and 9.4 percentage points compared to last year [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the total operating profit of agricultural industrial enterprises is expected to increase by 2.5% in 2024, achieving a turnaround from losses and surpassing the profit growth rate of most manufacturing sectors, reflecting a solid foundation for agricultural industrial development [1] - The growth of the agricultural industry is primarily driven by the recovery of exports and an acceleration in fixed asset investment, with food and non-food industrial exports maintaining rapid growth and pre-prepared food export companies seeing revenue growth exceeding 10% [2] - Looking ahead to 2025, the report forecasts that the growth rate of the agricultural industry will reach around 5%, with improvements in market concentration and chain levels in the agricultural service sector, alongside a trend of increasing rural residents' income, projected to reach approximately 24,000 RMB per capita [2]