Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Financial Performance - Warrior Met Coal reported a quarterly loss of $0.16 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.05, and a significant decline from earnings of $2.63 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -220% [1] - The company posted revenues of $299.94 million for the quarter ended March 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.98%, but down from $503.51 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Warrior Met Coal has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Warrior Met Coal shares have declined approximately 10.3% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 5.5% for the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.15 on revenues of $284.04 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.06 on revenues of $1.41 billion [7] Industry Context - The coal industry, to which Warrior Met Coal belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Warrior Met Coal's stock performance [5][6]