Spotify(US:SPOT) ZACKSยท2025-05-01 01:25Core Viewpoint - Despite missing Q1 earnings expectations, Spotify's stock has risen over 3% since the report, outperforming broader market declines and even surpassing Netflix's stock performance year-to-date [1] Group 1: Q1 Results - Spotify reported Q1 EPS of $1.13, missing expectations of $2.29, but showing a 7% increase from $1.05 in Q1 2024 [2] - Q1 sales rose 11% year-over-year to $4.4 billion, although this was below the estimated $4.59 billion [2] Group 2: Subscriber Growth - Spotify's net subscribers increased by 12% in Q1, reaching 268 million, with 5 million new net subscribers added [3] - Monthly active users (MAU) grew by 3 million to 678 million [3] Group 3: Guidance & Outlook - For Q2, Spotify expects to add 11 million MAU and 5 million subscribers, forecasting revenue of $4.52 billion, reflecting a 10% growth [4] - Total sales are projected to increase by 16% in fiscal 2025 and another 15% in FY26, reaching $22.55 billion [4] Group 4: Margin Expectations - Spotify anticipates improvement in full-year margins for 2025, albeit at a more measured pace compared to last year's exceptional gains [5] Group 5: Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimate revisions have trended higher, with FY25 and FY26 EPS estimates up 5% and 8% respectively over the last 60 days [8] - Annual earnings are expected to increase by 78% this year to $10.61 per share, up from $5.95 in 2024, with FY26 EPS projected to rise by 31% to $13.95 [8] Group 6: Investment Sentiment - Spotify's rapid expansion and positive earnings estimate revisions have led to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting continued strong stock performance [9]