Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-01 12:28Core Viewpoint - The company's 2024 performance fell short of expectations, primarily due to significant asset impairment losses, while the first quarter of 2025 showed improvement in revenue and net profit growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, total revenue reached 69.695 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.86%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.922 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.7% due to asset impairment losses of approximately 1.15 billion yuan [1]. - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 16.548 billion yuan, up 9.93% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.154 billion yuan, an increase of 27.39% [1]. Business Segments - Clean and Efficient Energy: In 2024, revenue from coal, gas, and nuclear power increased by 17.8%, 87.6%, and 68.0% respectively, with gross margins slightly declining [1]. - Renewable Energy: In 2024, revenue from hydropower and wind power grew by 27.9% and 19.6% respectively, with the company ranking among the top three in offshore wind installations [1]. - Modern Manufacturing Services: Revenue from power station services surged by 61.9% in 2024, with a slight increase in gross margin [1]. Order Growth and Profitability - New effective orders increased by 17% in 2024 to 101.1 billion yuan, with Q1 2025 seeing a 36% rise to 35.88 billion yuan, driven by strong demand in clean and renewable energy equipment [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 16.6%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to approximately 7.1%, an increase of 1 percentage point [2]. Industry Trends - The company is expected to benefit from policy support for traditional energy sources, including coal, nuclear, and hydropower, with ongoing upgrades and approvals for new projects [3]. - Recent government initiatives aim to enhance the performance of existing coal power units and maintain a steady approval pace for nuclear power projects [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been revised down by 11.1% to 4.16 billion yuan, with a new forecast for 2026 set at 5.01 billion yuan [4]. - Current A and H shares are valued at 12.4/10.3 times and 8.1/6.6 times P/E for 2025/2026, respectively, with target prices set at 17 HKD and 11.6 HKD, indicating potential upside [4].