【财经分析】全球不确定性升高或让澳大利亚央行5月降息成定局

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is likely to cut interest rates on May 20 due to the current economic conditions and inflation data aligning with expectations [1][3][4] - The overall consumer price index (CPI) in Australia remained unchanged at a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, while the trimmed mean inflation rate fell to 2.9%, both within the RBA's target range of 2%-3% [1][4] - Analysts believe that the RBA's decision to lower interest rates is a necessary measure to support economic growth amid rising global uncertainties and domestic economic challenges [2][3] Group 2 - Australia's economy has shown signs of weakness, with the latest data indicating that the country only recently emerged from a period of negative per capita GDP growth that lasted for seven consecutive quarters [2] - The ongoing trade tensions initiated by the Trump administration have raised concerns about a potential recession in Australia, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicting a loss of AUD 13 billion to the Australian economy due to these trade policies [3][4] - The RBA's anticipated rate cut is seen as a response to the softening labor market and the need to mitigate the risks posed by global economic uncertainties [3][4]