Earnings Preview: Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

Company Overview - Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $1.53 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 116% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $555.8 million, down 35.7% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 90.51% over the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Alpha Metallurgical matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8] - Alpha Metallurgical currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Alpha Metallurgical was expected to post a loss of $0.07 per share but actually reported a loss of $0.16, resulting in a surprise of -128.57% [12] - The company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [13] Industry Context - Another company in the Zacks Mining - Miscellaneous industry, MP Materials Corp. (MP), is expected to report a loss of $0.10 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of -150% [17] - MP Materials' revenues are expected to be $67.05 million, up 37.7% from the previous year [17] - The consensus EPS estimate for MP Materials has been revised up by 6.3% over the last 30 days, and it has an Earnings ESP of 1.36% [18]