Mattel(MAT) ZACKS·2025-05-02 16:05Core Viewpoint - Mattel, Inc. is expected to report a decline in revenues and earnings for the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to underperformance in the Barbie brand and adverse macroeconomic conditions [1][3][5]. Financial Performance - In the last quarter, Mattel's earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 52.2%, while revenues fell short by 0.5%. Year-over-year, earnings and revenues increased by 20.7% and 2%, respectively [1]. - For the upcoming quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a loss of 11 cents per share, representing a 120% decline year-over-year. Revenue is projected at 809.5 million a year ago [2]. Brand Performance - The decline in revenues is attributed to weak performance from the Barbie brand in both North America and international markets, despite improvements in the Hot Wheels and Fisher-Price brands [3]. - Worldwide gross billings for the top three Power Brands are estimated at 95 million for Fisher-Price (up 2.2%), and $263 million for Hot Wheels (up 1.9%) [4]. Cost and Expenses - The company's bottom line is expected to be negatively impacted by increased selling and administrative expenses, particularly due to higher employee compensation and elevated advertising costs [4]. Market Conditions - Ongoing macroeconomic challenges, including suppressed discretionary spending and inflationary pressures, are likely to hinder the company's performance despite its focus on cost control and diversified entertainment offerings [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model suggests that Mattel is unlikely to achieve an earnings beat this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -4.76% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [6].